How do you value a pre-revenue business?

Why £3m?

I get asked a lot about how to value a pre-revenue business.

It can help to think about how much Angel investors are looking to make from their initial investment. Realistically, it’s a 7 year time frame to exit. So assuming a 30-40% pa return (IRR) for the high equity risk, compounding for 7 years, that equates to about 10x their money. Yes we’d all love a 100 bagger. But let’s assume 10x.

So, what is a “realistic” exit value you can achieve? £30-40m?

So working back using a reverse compounding equation, assuming some dilution in future rounds, that gets you to around £3m for the entry valuation.

I know this is very generic and clearly won't work for all businesses, but the approach isn't a bad one at least as a sense check of your aspirational valuation.

Want some help valuing or forecasting your early stage business?

Set up a free discovery call here to discuss how we can help.